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I bought some SQ when it was below $30, Their market cap at that time was ~10B. It has grown rapidly since then and its current valuation is 25B.

I'm trying to evaluate if SQ has more room to grow for the next 5 years and beyond.

Would you guys share your thoughts?

I personally feel it has lot of hurdles to grow from here -

  1. Paypal has acquired izettle, which is more widely used than Square in Europe. So, growth into Europe seems questionable since the izettle has a significant headstart there.

  2. From payments perspective, while Square still dominates in the POS systems, Stripe seems to be preferred by large corporations like Amazon and Expedia.

  3. From Cash App perspective, while CashApp is convenient to US market, features like instant transfers are already the norm in Europe and other nations.

  4. Also, CashApp's bitcoin feature just seems like a short term revenue generator, and doesn't look like a sustainable revenue stream.

The main growth prospect seems to be to dicersify their revenue to subscription and services, insteas of just relying on payments.

But, I am not sure if just the services and subscriptions growth can justify 25B market cap



Submitted August 06, 2018 at 10:08AM by fullmetaleng https://ift.tt/2nfQTNC

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