As a foreign investor who borrowed USD to invest in the US, the dollar course against the Swiss Frank is of great interest to me. Especially when it comes to the timing of paying off the loan, or buying back parts of the dollar amount. (If I pay it back (soonish) just before the dollar falls, that kinda sucks. If I buy USD for loaned CHF (today), that sucks even more as the loan stays the same but the real value of the bought US stocks drops.)
What near term factors are there that I should watch? Oil price? The infrastructure bill? Tapering? Rate hikes? How would each of these affect the dollar's value (I guess positively except for the bill)? And what other factors have I not considered?
I'm also open to educated guesses as to where the USD might go from here but I know of course that it's impossible to predict accurately, and that the movement of the Swiss Frank also plays a relevant role.
Submitted October 14, 2021 at 03:37AM by don_cornichon https://ift.tt/2XeRTYa