Hello everyone I've compiled a list of fundamental analysis for GEO. High confidence in this, please check it out! Each post is pretty long, which is why this was compiled into a sort of index.
value investor look at GEO (see comments section):
https://www.reddit.com/r/GeoGroup/comments/ogwy2l/geo_replacement_cost_at_least_5026share_but_even/
Real Estate Price Finding OC Post:
https://www.reddit.com/r/GeoGroup/comments/o14j7i/real_estate/
value investor alternate look:
https://www.reddit.com/r/GeoGroup/comments/o9bxze/geo_win_win_opportunity/
Short Squeeze Potential:
https://www.reddit.com/r/GeoGroup/comments/oeyixk/geo_has_the_best_downside_protection_so_you_can/
Macro analysis of GEO and the Crime Crisis:
https://www.reddit.com/r/GeoGroup/comments/o8nlil/broken_windows_theory_urban_decay_data_trends/
DD on BI Incorporated Tech Growth Company Subsidiary and Govt contracts:
https://www.reddit.com/r/GeoGroup/comments/ofxj6q/regarding_geo_government_contracts_and_bi/
https://www.reddit.com/r/GeoGroup/comments/oh6j1d/some_thought_i_just_had_regarding_bi_incorporated/
Total Insider Trades by Zoley:
https://www.reddit.com/r/GeoGroup/comments/ocj4tm/zoley_has_bought_13m_worth_of_geo_at_10_cost/
Info regarding Illegal Immigrant Crisis (see comments section):
https://www.reddit.com/r/GeoGroup/comments/odrq93/illegal_border_crossings_have_reached_a_20year/
Information regarding new GEO CEO:
https://www.reddit.com/r/GeoGroup/comments/ocj9oe/quick_post_about_jose_gordo_new_ceo_of_geo/
Good review on Geo Group Debt.
https://www.reddit.com/r/GeoGroup/comments/ockaul/good_review_of_current_debt_geo_currently_has/
Regarding the debt:
Book value per share is atleast 7.85, meaning in the EXTREMELY unlikely case they can't pay off the debt, shareholder's should atleast get the value of the share assets which CURRENTLY is undervalued. See : https://www.investopedia.com/terms/b/bvps.asp#:~:text=Book%20value%20per%20share%20(BVPS)%20is%20the%20ratio%20of%20equity,on%20a%20per%2Dshare%20basis%20is%20the%20ratio%20of%20equity,on%20a%20per%2Dshare%20basis).
https://www.investopedia.com/articles/fundamental-analysis/09/book-value-basics.asp#:~:text=Book%20value%20is%20the%20measure,equipment%2C%20real%20estate%2C%20etc.&text=This%20means%20that%2C%20in%20the,will%20still%20make%20a%20profit.
Someone needs to go through and cover every bankruptcy scenario and how GEO exceeds or meets the standard required for said bankruptcy scenario. Would highly appreciate that if someone could do that.
Regarding the executive order by Biden:
https://www.reddit.com/r/GeoGroup/comments/o7qpes/impact_of_federal_government_phasing_out_private/
Here's some more due diligence on GEO:
https://www.reddit.com/r/ValueInvesting/comments/msve65/is_geo_group_a_good_value_play_now/
Bond Data
Fintel trading/ownership info on bonds:
https://fintel.io/sob/us/36162jaa4
https://fintel.io/sob/us/36162JAB2
https://fintel.io/sob/us/36159RAK9
https://fintel.io/sob/us/36159RAG8
Other:
Burry Meme : https://www.reddit.com/r/GeoGroup/comments/o5p5p3/get_ready_for_liftoff_georillas_this_is_going_to/
Billboard of GEO for hype: https://www.reddit.com/r/GeoGroup/comments/ogbtb6/its_live/
GEO's stock price depending on which president is in power (democrat/republican): https://media.discordapp.net/attachments/843902793152200734/862836062602133574/GEO_Political_Spectrum.png?width=1796&height=1372
ICE Data : https://trac.syr.edu/immigration/detentionstats/pop_agen_table.html
Bank Backing article : https://www.ft.com/content/301f93ac-0e7b-464d-8dbb-c2a05f9161f0
non-paywall bank backing article : https://archive.is/uiBX4
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If anyone else has anything else to add, please comment below! Thanks!
Not financial advise. I implore everyone reading through everything to follow Dr. Burry's advice.
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/E4HyKZsXoA8W1_7?format=jpg&name=900x900
Analyze, think independently, be informed, find the data, and you'll know alot that no one else does.
Submitted July 13, 2021 at 10:11AM by Financial-Process-86 https://ift.tt/3yQz1Ma