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One user on the Motley Fool forums wrote an interesting analysis on what your chances are when waiting for a market drop. The analysis presents a couple of interesting results, but what really strikes me is the following find:

The chance that the market drops more than 10% within 6 months after an all-time high is 10.1%.

vs.

The chance that the market gains more than 10% within 6 months after an all time high is 23.1%.

This is based on historical S&P 500 data since 1950.

This means that when the S&P 500 reaches an all-time high you've got far better chances for gains by buying more rather than selling or shorting!



Submitted October 24, 2017 at 08:13AM by stenlis http://ift.tt/2yNXk1G

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