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Historically when there is major calamity (warfare, coup, major disasters) there is an immediate spike in demand from overseas investors for 'safe' assets like US Treasury bonds and T-bills.

Do we know how the market could behave if the calamity was on- shore and was clearly targeted at the US government? Would US capital flee, if so, where? (the markets were quickly closed during 9/11)

Some viable scenarios to illustrate the kind of scenario I'm referring to:

  • Presidential assassination

  • an attempted White House coup

  • economically significant States seceding from the Union

  • Second American Civil War

  • Washington D.C hit by a improvised radiological device ('dirty bomb')



Submitted March 18, 2017 at 07:12AM by RCS47 http://ift.tt/2ny98A0

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